CONSTANCE HUNTER: Well, that's not most people's forecast. And certainly, when I speak to CEOs I do not get the sense that any of them are worried about a slowdown. They're more worried that the economy is overheating. So I have not seen any evidence of that. What-- are you pointing to a survey or some data that gives you the sense this is what people are thinking? BRIAN SOZZI: Well, I would say a lot of folks on the Street, at least economists, are looking-- they have modeled for high single-digit, in some cases double-digit, growth for this quarter. So by the end of the year, we could be looking at GDP growth rates, what, mid- to low-single digits. So the growth rate is going to slow. CONSTANCE HUNTER: But mid- to low-single digits is still pretty high growth rate, right? I mean, if you look at our potential GDP of 1.8% a year, yeah, you're expecting a bit of a slowdown in the second half. But most people are anticipating that this extra $1.5 trillion that we have of savings that we've amassed over the pandemic is going to be trickled out over the next year to 18 months to help increase consumption. So yeah, we do expect some slower growth in the second half, but only because we had the beginning of the V-- or the end of the V is still occurring with the rebound here in the first half. So I don't think that that-- I don't think that that slowdown is what has caused the slowdown in hiring this month. I think we're going to need some really good survey data to dig in and understand why this is happening. JULIE HYMAN: Constance, what's going to happen to wages, do you think, as we head throughout the year? Because you know, if indeed various employers are having trouble enticing workers back, does that mean we're not going to see that sort of depressive effect that was expected from getting more low-wage workers back? CONSTANCE HUNTER: So it depends on your perspective, right? If you're an employer and now people's reservation wage is higher and you have to pay more, you're not necessarily excited about that prospect. But from an overall economy standpoint when we think about the consumption power for those workers, obviously it increases as they get more wages. So-- and one of the other things that we anticipate is that with higher wages, we will see investment, capex, in labor-saving technology.https://finance.yahoo.com/video/april-jobs-data-could-create-132954509.html
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